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India to England: WTC 2025 final qualification scenarios of top 5 teams

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India to England: WTC 2025 final qualification scenarios of top 5 teams

ICC World Test Championship 2023-25 qualification scenario and chances

The International Cricket Council (ICC) on Tuesday confirmed Lord’s Cricket Ground as the venue for the World Test Championship (WTC) 2023-25 final. The WTC final will be held from June 11 to 15 next year, with June 16 being the reserve day. The final will be played between the top two teams in the WTC points table after the end of the cycle. At the moment, two-time finalists India and defending champions Australia are sitting at first and second spots, respectively. They are followed closely by New Zealand, Bangladesh, and England in the next three spots.

Full WTC 2023-25 Points Table


All five teams have fair chances of securing their place for Lord’s. However, with these five teams scheduled to play against each other in the coming months, every match will begin to play a deciding factor in their WTC points table standings. But what exactly do these teams need to confirm their position in the final? Let’s take a look.


India’s chances for WTC 2025 final

(74 points, 9 matches, 68.52 percentage points)
 

The two-time finalists of the World Test Championship, India, will be looking to prove the saying third time’s the charm if they manage to keep themselves in the top two positions. India, who are currently on top of the points table with 68.52 percentage points, will play 10 more matches in the WTC cycle, starting with two-match Test series against Bangladesh.

How can India qualify for WTC final 2025?

They can reach a maximum of 85.08 percentage points if they win all the 10 matches. However, Rohit Sharma’s men need to win only eight out of their remaining 10 matches to ensure top two finish at the WTC points table for the third time in a row.

India’s remaining matches


India remaining matches in WTC 2023-25 cycle

Opponent

Venue

Date

Time (IST)

Bangladesh

MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai

19 Sep

09:30:00 AM

Bangladesh

Green Park, Kanpur

27 Sep

09:30:00 AM

New Zealand

M Chinnaswamy Stadium Bengaluru

16 Oct

09:30:00 AM

New Zealand

Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune

24 Oct

09:30:00 AM

New Zealand

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai

01 Nov

09:30:00 AM

Australia

Perth Stadium, Perth

22 Nov

08:30:00 AM

Australia

Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

06 Dec

09:30:00 AM

Australia

The Gabba, Brisbane

14 Dec

05:30:00 AM

Australia

Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne

26 Dec

05:30:00 AM

Australia

Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney

03 Jan

05:30:00 AM

 

2. Australia chances for WTC 2025 final

(90 points, 12 matches, 62.50 percantage points)

 

The defending champions, Australia, have their task cut out if they want to play the WTC final for the second consecutive time. They are currently at the second place in the WTC points table with 62.50 points and have one five-match series left to play against India in the current cycle.

How can Australia qualify for WTC final 2025?

If Australia manage to beat India 4-1 in their home series, they will book their flight directly to Lord’s for June next year. However, their chances can also become easier or more difficult depending on India’s series with New Zealand, which could give Australia some advantage over their closest opponents.

Australia’s remaining matches


Australia remaining matches in WTC 2023-25 cycle

Opponent

Venue

Date

Time (IST)

India

Perth Stadium, Perth

22 Nov

08:30:00 AM

India

Adelaide Oval, Adelaide

06 Dec

09:30:00 AM

India

The Gabba, Brisbane

14 Dec

05:30:00 AM

India

Melbourne Cricket Ground, Melbourne

26 Dec

05:30:00 AM

India

Sydney Cricket Ground, Sydney

03 Jan

05:30:00 AM

 

3. New Zealand chances for WTC 2025 final

(36 points, 6 matches, 50 percentage points)

 

The inaugural WTC champions, New Zealand, are currently holding the third spot in the WTC points table with 50 percentage points.

New Zealand scenarios for WTC 2025 final qualification

The Black Caps still have eight more matches to go in the ongoing WTC cycle, and winning seven of those will give them a second-place finish on the WTC points table. However, they will also need to keep a close eye on the India vs Australia series in case they cannot reach the required number of wins on their own.

New Zealand’s remaining matches


New Zealand remaining matches in WTC 2023-25 cycle

Opponent

Venue

Date

Time (IST)

Sri Lanka

Galle International Stadium, Galle

18 Sep

10:00:00 AM

Sri Lanka

Galle International Stadium, Galle

26 Sep

10:00:00 AM

India

M Chinnaswamy Stadium Bengaluru

16 Oct

09:30:00 AM

India

Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune

24 Oct

09:30:00 AM

India

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai

01 Nov

09:30:00 AM

England

Hagley Oval, Christchurch

28 Nov

03:30:00 AM

England

Basin Reserve, Wellington

06 Dec

03:30:00 AM

England

Seddon Park, Hamilton

14 Dec

03:30:00 AM

4. Bangladesh chances for WTC 2025 final

(33 points, 6 matches, 45.83 percentage points)

 

The Bangla Tigers, unexpectedly, became contenders for the WTC final spots after registering a historic 2-0 win over Pakistan in their recently concluded Test series. They jumped to the fourth spot with 45.83 percentage points at the moment. They are mathematically still in contention for the top two spots, but unlike the top three teams, not everything is in their hands. They still have four matches left to play, but even if they manage to win all four, they will still need two of the top three teams to drop multiple points for a place in WTC final at Lord’s.

Bangladesh’s remaining matches


Bangladesh remaining matches in WTC 2023-25 cycle

Opponent

Venue

Date

Time (IST)

India

MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai

19 Sep

09:30:00 AM

India

Green Park, Kanpur

27 Sep

09:30:00 AM

West Indies

Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, North Sound, Antigua

22 Nov

07:30:00 PM

West Indies

Sabina Park, Kingston, Jamaica

30 Nov

07:30:00 PM

  

5. England chances for WTC 2025 final

(81 points, 15 matches, 45 percentage points)

 


England’s chances in the WTC points table is similar to Bangladesh’s, as after a four-match losing streak, the English side finally picked up the pace and are now on a five-match winning run, keeping their WTC final hopes alive by securing the fifth spot in the points table with 45 percentage points. England still have seven more games to play, but even if they win all, they will only reach 62.5 percentage points, meaning they will have to depend on their luck as much as their skill if they want to play the WTC final at their home ground.


England’s remaining matches


England remaining matches in WTC 2023-25 cycle

Opponent

Venue

Date

Time (IST)

Sri Lanka

Kennington Oval, London

06 Sep

03:30:00 PM

Pakistan

Multan Cricket Stadium, Multan

07 Oct

10:30:00 AM

Pakistan

National Stadium, Karachi

15 Oct

10:30:00 AM

Pakistan

Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi

24 Oct

10:30:00 AM

New Zealand

Hagley Oval, Christchurch

28 Nov

03:30:00 AM

New Zealand

Basin Reserve, Wellington

06 Dec

03:30:00 AM

New Zealand

Seddon Park, Hamilton

14 Dec

03:30:00 AM

First Published: Sep 04 2024 | 2:47 PM IST

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